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How Wide Should Your Strikes Be In A Credit Spread?
Posted on January 16th, 2010 2 commentsGot the following question this week:
First, thank you for providing a great service. I have been trading options for about a year and have learned a lot from your tips and alerts.
Now, I have a question about position sizing. I am trading $100k of my funds using your alerts. When you send out an alert I multiply the number of contracts by 10 when putting on the trade. My question is: instead of just multiplying the contracts, can I use a combination of increasing the contracts and/or increasing the width of the strikes?For example, if the alert was to sell 2 SPX 1200/1210 Calls, instead of selling 20 10 point spreads, could I sell 10 20 point spreads? What would be the pros/cons of doing something like this?
It seems to me, if I widen the strikes, then when I need to make an adjustment, I could sell the near strike and buy the next strike as opposed to rolling the whole spread. Is there any advantage to this other than lower commissions and (possibly) better fills? More risk? I feel like I am missing something or not really thinking the strategy all the way through.
Thanks,
AdamMy reply:
Adam,Thanks for the compliments and the great question. I intend to post the question on my blog so everyone can benefit.First let me say that I am not a licensed investment advisor and so i cannot provide you with specific advice.Now let’s tackle your question.You can increase the width of a strike on a trade. That will increase the risk/the max loss/ and the margin required. If you then lower the amount of contracts you can equalize it.Let’s look at the SPX 1200/1210 calls you mentioned:If I put the trade on right now, the breakeven is 1200.30 and the credit is .60So if I do ten of these the credit is 600 and the max loss/margin is $9,400Let’s widen the strikesNow I will sell the 1200 and buy the 1250My breakeven is now 1201.76 and the credit is 1.70If I want to keep the same margin of roughly 9400 I would do 2 contracts.The credit would be 340 and the max loss/margin would be $9,660That’s about half the credit for the same risk. But the commissions would be lower because instead of doing 20 options we would only do 4. Even with lower commissions I don’t think you will save the $260 you are giving up in premium.If you sell the 1220 call, you would have to do 5 spreads for a margin of $9,450 and your credit would be $550.Now let’s look at adjustments.Let’s say SPX rallies from 1136 where it is today.This can get complicated with the math, and I am not a math guy so i will just explain it instead of doing the math and giving you exact numbers.1210 is closer to being at the money than 1250 and so the delta of the 1210 option is .07 while the delta of the 1250 is .02As SPX goes higher the 1210 will rise in value much faster than the 1250. And so when you do adjust you will pay the same to buy back the 1200 in either trade, but you will get more for selling the 1210 than you would for selling the 1250 and so the loss will be lower.Now your question was if you adjust you wouldn’t have to move your long option. Just leave it at 1250. True. But then it offers very little protection as a hedge.If you have access to backtesting software you can verify this yourself, or even use the thinkback feature at thinkorswim.In all the backtesting I have done on the SPX, I have found that in credit spreads, the “optimal” difference between strikes is 10 points. I have also had other traders tell me that the “optimal” difference between strikes in SPY is 1 point, which means the same thing.Feel free to papertrade this. By papertrading you can see for yourself how it plays out instead of just taking my word for it. Test 10 point strikes vs 15 vs 20 vs 25. 10 points works for me, you might find 20 works better for you. -
“The Iron Condor is not boring.”
Posted on October 26th, 2009 5 commentsHi, I just went through the course. I have a question on the iron condor. I had subscribed to another site that did those. They said they picked strike prices far away from the current price so that the odds were better than 90% that they would make money. Of course the market started to gyrate 100s of points per day and everyone was holding their breath for days. So I learned that these spread trades are not boring at all but can be extremely stressful. I was glad to see that you weren’t just touting you make money 90% of the time. I see that all the time but they fail to explain that you can lose 100% of your money up to 10% of the time. That makes the strategy not conservative at all. So my question is how much capital would you allocate to iron condors? Also, in your example, when the price dropped near the lower strike price you closed out the options on that side and then entered into new options just farther down in price. I can’t figure out why that couldn’t be done all the time so you really could have entered into this trade even when the market was swinging wildly in Oct. I guess a follow up to that is how did you end up losing 30+% in that one month? It would be great to learn what can go wrong. Thanks.
First you have to limit your loss. 100% loss is not acceptable. I am out of a trade when I am down around 20%. The month I lost was a very large, sharp, quick, move. That is the worst enemy of the condor.
Most months you have no problems, like this month. i though it would be wild, but even with earnings I have not had to adjust my condors at all. Both are doing nicely.
If the price moves towards my strikes, at a certain point I will roll the options away from the money. That is a simple adjustment and one of the ways that help me to stay in the trade and profit even when the market does move. But last September, it was just too much too fast and i just got out of the market instead of try to play with it. I took my loss and exited. Which saved me because Oct was another horrible month for the condor. Through experience I felt that the market was not acting correctly and stayed out of the market. -
When Do I Buy Back A Credit Spread?
Posted on October 20th, 2009 8 commentsHere is a question that comes after reading Lesson 2 in my 9 Lesson course on selling options.
When you say, to buy back the option before, the expiration date, don’t you incur additional costs, that reduce your profits even further ?
Good question. In some trades like the Calendar spread you have to buy them back because you don’t want to get long the option. But in an iron condor or credit spread, you can wait and let the options expire. If you buy them back you incur commissions plus whatever you are buying it back for.
In many cases it is a question of risk vs cost. if there is a lot of time left before expiration, you are probably best buying the trade back in case there is a move against you and you end up losing money. On the other hand if you let it expire you can save a few dollars and maybe 1 or 2% points on the trade.
So lets say you it will cost you $20 to buy back a trade, but if the trade moves against you, you could lose $1,000. Do you take your profits or hope for that last $20. Even if the trade moves just once against you in 4 years, you still lose money.
Make sense?Here is a real life example.
On October 12, 2009 I did a credit spread on AAPL. I Sold the Nov 165 Puts and Bought the Nov 160 Puts as protection for a credit of .50 on each spread. There were about 40 days to expiration.
On this trade if the puts expired worthless I would make 11.11% before commissions. (Credit of $50 divided by max loss of $450 per spread = potential return of 11.11%)
Well AAPL just had earnings yesterday and the stock shot up to about 200 today. This morning, I was able to buy back the credit spreads at .07 each.
So I made .43 per credit spread in 8 days. That is 9.5%
Why did I buy the spreads back? I could have let them expire worthless. If I did i would make another .07 per spread. But there is still 31 days left to expiration. So I decided to make my profit and money and look for another trade.
Who knows? Maybe AAPL will settle down and I will sell another credit spread on it this month for more credit. Or maybe I will do something else. All I know is that I don’t want to risk losing $450 per spread (anything can happen and APPL could drop in price) to make another $7 per spread.
Yes I did pay the commissions by buying the spreads back. But on each spread I paid $2.50 in commissions. $2.50 going in and $2.50 coming out which is a total of $5 in commission per spread. So instead of mkaing $43 per spread I made $38 per spread which is still 8.44%.
(That’s why having an option friendly broker is so important. I pay $1.25 per option with no trip charge. If you are paying $10 plus $1 per option or some other crazy commissions then you ae playing a game that is stacked against you. Get a better broker.)
In my opinion, take off your spreads when they are close to worthless if there is alot of time left. Take your profits. Everyday your money is out of the market is a day you cannot lose it.
This is not to say I never let my spreads go to expiration. Sometimes I do, but not too often on a highly volatile stock.


