With the VIX above 40 I do not have too many trades on right now, and so I got bored and went looking for a speculative trade. I think I found one. With the SPX having trouble getting back above 1100, it makes it a good time to sell some weekly Calls. Actually I was thinking of selling Weekly Puts this morning, but the market came back all the way to 1100 but couldn’t break it.
So here is what I did:
Sell Oct1 11 1145 Calls and Buy Oct1 11 1150 Calls for a credit of .55 each
85% Probability of Profit. 12% Potential Return.
I don’t want to hold these all the way to expiration (Friday). I am expecting SPX to drop after failing to raise above 1100 and will exit the trade with a respectable profit. If SPX breaks above 1100 to about 1110, I will probably exit the trade as well [...]