(Option Trading) Glimpse Trade: XHB
Here is this month’s Glimpse of Genius trade.
Glimpse of Genius is a free service where we share one delta neutral/option selling trade a month so that you can see how these trades work in real time. We do these “live” and you can sign up to be updated by email whenever we adjust or exit the trade. To sign up for these email alerts Click Here.
Here is a simple butterfly spread (butterfly option) on this etf.
As you can see from the image, the breakevens are about 31.4 on the high side and 28.7 on the low side. We want XHB to stay within this range. If it does, the trades gains value everyday. If it does not, an adjustment would need to be made.
Here’s the trade:
Buy to Open 1 Nov 27 Call
Sell to Open 2 Nov 30 Call
Buy to Open 1 Nov 33 Call for a debit of 1.80
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IV is around 21, almost the same as HV, and furthermore in the lower half of its 52 week range—therefore there is no vol edge in the trade; the other side has the edge. So why put it on– especially with 4 commissions and b/a spreads?
If someone is good enough at predicting within the limits of breakeven for this trade, it would make more sense just to look for positive gamma trades, still being aware of IV.
IV has been in the lower half of the range the better part of the year.
This trade is being used to show how these trades work. It is not a statement that this is the best trade available since that is up to each trader anyway.
just submitted the Glimpse trade on XHB, I put it in as a limit debit of 1.80 as stated, is this correct?
I got filled at 1.80 debit.
Please use this trade for education and only papertrade it
This butterfly is a debit, not credit, spread… Why do you say that butterfly spreads are selling options?
I put selling options in the same boat as delta neutral trades. This trade is a debit but what makes it work are the sold calls in the middle.
what do you do if this trade goes against you ?
If the stock moves outside the breakeven the most common adjustment is to add a second butterfly and thus extend the breakevens.
What are your exit rules on the upside and downside?
How much of your entire portfolio would you allocate to this or similar trade?
Does this allocation include future adjustments?
I will be adjusting if it breaks out in either direction.
You need to determine your own allocation.
If an adjustment is needed I will need probably a little less than I did on the original fly.
I’m paper trading, but couldn’t get filled at 1.80
Put in a market order just to see where I could get in, it was filled at a debit of 2.51, it appears the trade moved to far away from where it was intended to be profitably by the time the alert went out, is this common for subscribers or something that just happens at times
2.51? There is no way. The stock has not moved that much. You got taken advantage of by the market makers. Be very careful with market orders.
My bad, miscalculated, I got filled at $1.53
I can’t get the “tab” to sign up for Glimpse to work. How do I sign up to get these notices?
You can sign up here: